Overview

With McLaren running the table at the sharp end of the F1 2025 drivers’ and constructors’ championships, the real weekend‑to‑weekend drama often lives in the midfield — where points are scarce, qualifying margins are brutal, and a single Safety Car can swing the outlook for three teams at once. Post‑Baku, we’ve crunched a simple, telling metric to cut through the noise: a rolling three‑race points form chart covering Zandvoort (Netherlands), Monza (Italy) and Baku (Azerbaijan). Then we layer in a qualitative read on the crucial P10 cut‑off in qualifying — the line between a Q3 shot and a Q2 exit — to build a clear power ranking.

If you need a refresher on how the modern Formula 1 points system works (no fastest‑lap bonus since 2024) and when points are reduced in shortened races, our explainers have you covered:

Method: what “rolling three‑race points” captures

  • Scope: Netherlands (Round 15), Italy (Round 16), Azerbaijan (Round 17).
  • Scoring: 25‑18‑15‑12‑10‑8‑6‑4‑2‑1 for the top ten. No fastest‑lap point in 2025.
  • Credit goes to teams, not just standout drivers: we total both cars’ points.
  • Objective: highlight present‑tense performance rather than full‑season inertia.

We focus on the midfield cohort: Williams, RB, Aston Martin, Sauber, Haas and Alpine. The headline teams (McLaren, Mercedes, Ferrari, Red Bull) frame the fight but are not ranked here.

Rolling three‑race points (Rounds 15–17)

From the past three Sundays, here’s the form snapshot shaping the midfield narrative:

  • Williams — 31 points (10 at Zandvoort, 6 at Monza, 15 at Baku)
  • RB — 27 points (15, 1, 11)
  • Aston Martin — 10 points (10, 0, 0)
  • Haas — 9 points (9, 0, 0)
  • Sauber — 4 points (0, 4, 0)
  • Alpine — 0 points (0, 0, 0)

Context from the dataset’s race results:
Zandvoort (top‑10): Piastri, Verstappen, Hadjar, Russell, Albon, Bearman, Stroll, Alonso, Tsunoda, Ocon.
Monza: Verstappen, Norris, Piastri, Leclerc, Russell, Hamilton, Albon, Bortoleto, Antonelli, Hadjar.
Baku: Verstappen, Russell, Sainz, Antonelli, Lawson, Tsunoda, Norris, Hamilton, Leclerc, Hadjar.

Midfield power ranking (post‑Baku)

1) Williams — Low‑drag identity, points density

Williams top the form chart thanks to repeat scores across three circuits with very different asks. The FW47’s straight‑line efficiency pays off at Monza and Baku, but the bigger story is reliability and execution: clean pit windows, measured out‑laps, and smart racecraft in the DRS trains. Carlos Sainz’s podium in Baku underlines how much value straight‑line speed still brings on modern street tracks, while Alex Albon’s consistency has been their points floor.

Qualifying P10 cut‑off read: Williams frequently live on the Q3 bubble — often slotting just inside the P10 line when tow timing and out‑lap prep land. When they miss, it tends to be traffic and sequence rather than raw pace.

2) RB — Slippery race‑day package, conversion improving

RB’s rolling 27 points are powered by Isack Hadjar’s Zandvoort podium and Liam Lawson’s top‑five in Baku. The car is slippery enough to finish moves on long straights and stable enough to protect tyres after restarts. Operationally they’ve tidied Sundays — fewer self‑inflicted strategy traps — and that’s turned pace into points.

Qualifying P10 cut‑off read: Regularly hovering around the Q3 threshold. When they hook up a clean lap without a wall brush, the car’s end‑of‑straight speed makes the difference; when they’re shuffled in traffic queues, the opportunity fades quickly.

3) Aston Martin — Points in hand, ceiling capped

Aston’s 10‑point haul came entirely at Zandvoort, built on classic Alonso execution with Stroll backing it up. The AMR25 struggles when drag levels are trimmed aggressively; over a rolling window, that caps upside. But they still bank when attrition and discipline align.

Qualifying P10 cut‑off read: Often just outside the P10 line unless the track is front‑limited and low‑degradation. The risk is over‑driving into the castle or T15 at Baku when chasing the final tenth.

4) Haas — Operational sharpness, but thin margins

Nine points from Zandvoort show a race‑team that pounces when chaos favours them. The VF‑25 needs very clean out‑laps to make undercuts stick, and brake temp swings can undo their stints. With tidy weekends, they are capable of repeat P8–P10 finishes.

Qualifying P10 cut‑off read: Usually on the wrong side of P10 by a small margin unless a driver finds a particularly tidy banker. Track evolution timing can make or break their Saturdays.

5) Sauber — Efficiency with glimpses of upside

Sauber’s four points at Monza were no fluke; the car’s efficiency profile works on power tracks and when Safety Cars compress the field. The next step is converting more Saturdays into clean first stints to avoid being trapped in DRS trains.

Qualifying P10 cut‑off read: Capable of flirting with the P10 cut, especially at low‑drag venues. Execution through the castle section is the make‑or‑break.

6) Alpine — Drought to break

No points in the window and little race‑day leverage without attrition ahead. The chassis shows flashes on smooth, cooler surfaces, but every Sunday feels like a narrow lane to P10. A clean Singapore could still yield a much‑needed score.

Qualifying P10 cut‑off read: Most sessions leave them just outside Q3 contention unless conditions swing or traffic opens a lane. Minimising micro‑errors in S3 is critical.

What this means for the constructors’ fight

In the Formula 1 constructors’ standings, Williams’ 31‑point rolling haul consolidates fifth overall and stretches the buffer to the chasing trio. RB’s trend line is the most interesting — with cleaner Sundays, they can threaten Sauber and apply pressure to Aston Martin on the right tracks. Haas remain opportunists; Alpine need a structural step or a perfectly timed Safety Car.

Singapore flips the variable sheet from Baku: tyre life over top speed, traction zones over long straights, and out‑lap tyre prep over tow games. Expect Williams to defend with execution, RB to hunt with straight‑line carry to Turn 7, and Aston to rely on Alonso’s racecraft to turn P12 starts into P8 finishes.

If you’re tracking how specific results swing the math, remember the 2025 realities:

  • No fastest‑lap bonus, so “free stops” late are often vanity.
  • Sprints add eight down to one — small edges that accumulate across the midfield.
  • Shortened races apply sliding scales — a mid‑distance red flag can halve expected points. See our explainers above for details.

FAQ: Quick answers for searchers

Who is leading the F1 2025 drivers’ championship right now?

Oscar Piastri leads on 324 points with seven wins, ahead of Lando Norris on 299 (five wins) and Max Verstappen on 255 (four wins).

Which team tops the F1 2025 constructors’ standings?

McLaren lead on 623 points, with Mercedes (290), Ferrari (286) and Red Bull Racing (275) chasing.

Which midfield team has the best form after Baku?

By rolling three‑race points (Rounds 15–17), Williams lead with 31, followed by RB with 27.

How close are midfield teams to the Q3/P10 cut‑off in qualifying?

It varies by track, but Williams and RB frequently operate near the P10 bubble; Aston, Haas and Sauber tend to need a cleaner‑than‑average lap or helpful track evolution to sneak through.

How are points awarded in F1 2025?

Full‑distance races award 25‑18‑15‑12‑10‑8‑6‑4‑2‑1 to the top ten. There is no fastest‑lap point from 2024 onwards. Sprints award 8‑7‑6‑5‑4‑3‑2‑1.

Follow the midfield swings live with RaceMate — our F1 points table and championship standings update in real time every lap.