What Makes a “Robust” Championship Favourite
A championship favourite is easy to label when one car is quick and the points gap looks comfortable. But “favourite” is a headline; “robust favourite” is a property you can test. In F1, small shifts — a single non-finish, a track-specific weakness, one messy Sprint weekend — can flip the title picture because the points system amplifies outcomes at the front. If you’re using an F1 calculator or season predictor to make decisions (or just to understand what’s actually driving the title fight), the goal isn’t to find the one true future. It’s to measure how resilient the favourite is across many plausible futures.
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