Why “Optimal” Tyre Strategy Often Loses Races
A good tyre strategy model is a calculator for conditional race time: if degradation behaves like this, if pit loss is that, if you rejoin in clean air, then Strategy A is faster than Strategy B. The problem is that real Grands Prix rarely respect a single clean set of assumptions. “Optimal” strategies are often the ones with the thinnest margins, and thin margins are exactly what chaos tends to destroy.
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