What Long-Run Data Tells Simulators That Short Runs Can’t
Single-lap pace is seductive because it’s clean: a lap time, a delta, a headline. But if you’re building an F1 points forecast—or even just stress-testing who can realistically stay in a title fight—short runs are the wrong place to anchor your confidence. Over a season, the standings are shaped less by the best lap a car can produce and more by what it repeats: stint after stint, track after track, under imperfect conditions.
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